How Much Should An Average 11 Year Old Girl Weight Trump Wins Trade War As Global Markets Plummet

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Trump Wins Trade War As Global Markets Plummet

Ny fiandohan’ny volana Jolay izao, mialohan’ny hidiran’ity lahatsoratra ity amin’ny Internet, nefa mazava tsara ny toerana misy ahy. Ny US sy Shina dia samy nampiakatra ny sarany amin’ny $ 34 lavitrisa vidin’ny entana Zoma 6 Jolay. Ho fanombohana, ambany ara-tantara ny tsy fananan’asa ary ny Fed dia natsangana hampiakatra ny tahan’ny indroa alohan’ny hifaranan’ny taona – izany rehetra izany dia ao anatin’ny fitotongan’ny fandaniana tsy misy dikany.

Dia ahoana izany ady varotra izany? Andeha hojerentsika. Ny ankamaroan’ny olona dia manaiky fa ny fivarotana entana malalaka dia tsara indrindra ho an’ny rehetra voakasik’izany. Ny entana dia ho lafo kokoa ary ireo izay tsy afaka mifaninana amin’ny vidiny dia hanao izany eo amin’ny kalitao, mitarika amin’ny fanatsarana ny entana. Tsara sy tsara daholo ny zava-drehetra mandra-pahatongan’ny fiarovana sy ny nasionalisma. Ny firenena sasany dia manana entana izay sarotra ny mifaninana amin’ny vidiny sy/na kalitao. Maneran-tany, ireo mpitondra eran-tany amin’ireo firenena ireo dia tsy mifona amin’ny fitadiavana ny tombontsoan’ny fireneny amin’ny fandaniana ny hafa. Amin’ny fiezahana hisoroka ny endrik’ilay Amerikana ratsy tarehy, dia matetika izahay no mametraka ny tenanay ho amin’ny tsy fahampiana. Tsy misy na aiza na aiza miharihary kokoa noho ny amin’ny varotra izay matetika manana tombony mazava ny mpiara-miombon’antoka amintsika.

Ny angon-drakitra fanisam-bahoaka amerikana dia mampiseho fa manana tsy fahampiana ara-barotra isika amin’ny faritra ara-barotra rehetra afa-tsy any Amerika Atsimo sy Afovoany ary Aostralia/Oseania. Amin’ny $ 33,14 sy $ 14,38 lavitrisa, tsirairay avy, ny efa-taona farany sy ny varotra mitambatra $ 310,44 lavitrisa dia tsy misy dikany raha oharina amin’ny fatiantoka ho an’ny tontolo hafa, – $ 844,66 lavitrisa, izay mitambatra ny varotra dia $ 3,578 trillion. Ireto ambany ireto ny salan’isa 2014-2017 ho an’ny ankamaroan’izao tontolo izao amin’ny miliara:

Kanada: -$20.01

Vondrona Eoropeana: – $149.61

Azia: -$547.49

Afrika: -$2.60

Ohatra iray i Shina. Fantatr’izy ireo ny tombontsoa ara-bola lehibe azon’ny mpanjifany 1,38 lavitrisa, ka maka concession goavana amin’ireo mpiara-miombon’antoka aminy izy ireo, anisan’izany i Etazonia. fanafahana. Mariho fa mandeha amin’ny lalana iray izany; tsy misy fizarana fananana ara-tsaina.

Tsy ara-drariny ireo fomba fanao ara-barotra tsy misy fifaninanana ireo, saingy hatramin’izao, ireo orinasa amerikana dia nanaiky azy ireo tsy nisy fanerena be ho sandan’ny raharaham-barotra any. Izany dia hatramin’ny Trump. Ny tokony ho takatry ny mpitondra sinoa dia ny hoe tsy ao anatin’ny toerana tsara fifampiraharahana izy ireo ary arakaraka ny maha-ela azy no hanimba ny toekareny.

Izao no antony. Ireo mpitarika ny toekarena tantanin’ny governemanta dia mahafantatra tsara ny tantarany ary mahatsapa fa ny vahoaka Shinoa marobe dia tsy hiaritra toe-javatra mahantra mandrakizay. Mba tsy hisian’ny tsy fahafaham-po dia manana politikan’ny fitomboana ara-toekarena izy ireo. Araka ny filazan’ny Trading Economics, dia nahatratra 11.7% ny fitomboan’ny harin-karena faobe tao anatin’ny 10 taona lasa izy ireo, saingy miseho ny tsimokaretina amin’ny fiadiany. Nanomboka tamin’ny vanim-potoanan’ny taona 2010-2011, izay nitomboan’ny harinkarena faobe 19% sy 24%, dia nihena tsy an-kijanona ny fisondrotana ary indraindray mitsambikina. Nisondrotra 5,56% sy 1,14% izany tamin’ny 2015 sy 2016. Tsy mahagaga raha nanao tosika lehibe nanomboka teo ireo tarehimarika ao amin’ny governemanta foibe manahy mba hampitomboana ny fanondranana eran-tany, anisan’izany ny any Etazonia, ka nahatonga ny fiverenan’ny fitomboan’ny harin-karena ho an’ny 9,35% amin’ny 2017. tsy dia mifaninana loatra, mifanojo amin’ireo drafitra ireo. Sahirana ny toekaren’i Shina ary porofon’izany ny tsenam-bolany. Ny fitambaran’ny Shenzhen kely kokoa dia nifindra tany amin’ny faritry ny tsenan’ny orsa tamin’ny Febroary ary nikatona tao amin’ny faritry ny bera ny Shanghai composite tamin’ny Talata 27 Jona. Nidina ambany ny indexes tamin’ny -26.5% sy -25.0 tamin’ny 5 Jolay fa vao haingana dia niverina ho -22.5 sy -21.2. %, tsirairay avy, satria ny tsena iraisam-pirenena dia niakatra nifanaraka tamin’ny tsenan’i Etazonia. Mbola ao anatin’ny faritry ny tsenan’ny orsa izany, izay hampihena ny fampiasam-bola vahiny. Mandritra izany fotoana izany, mitombo tsy mitsaha-mitombo ny harin-karena amerikana, toa salama tsara ny toe-karena, ary manakaiky ny haavo vaovao ny tsenam-bola. Trump dia afaka mampiakatra ny lalao karama lava kokoa noho ny fahafantarany fa manana efitrano fihovitrovitra ara-toekarena bebe kokoa izy. Ambonin’izany, afaka mampijaly kokoa ny toe-karena Shinoa izy noho ny amin’ny antsika.

Mba hahitana ny antony, andeha hojerentsika ny laharan’ny varotra. Ny fatiantoka ara-barotra miaraka amin’i Shina dia salan’isa – $ 358.68 lavitrisa nandritra ny efa-taona farany tao anatin’ny fironana miakatra. Raha nihena teo anelanelan’ny $ 110-129 lavitrisa dolara ny fanondranana amerikana nanomboka tamin’ny 2012, dia nitombo hatrany ny fanafarana Shinoa avy amin’ny $ 315 ka hatramin’ny 375 lavitrisa. Tamin’ny taon-dasa dia -375,58 lavitrisa dolara ny fatiantoka, ka ny $ 129,89 lavitrisa amin’ireo dia fanondranana Amerikana tany Shina ary $ 505,47 lavitrisa dia fanafarana Shinoa amerikana. Tsy vitan’ny hoe tsy mifandanja ny varotra fa misy ihany koa ny saran-dalana. Talohan’ity taona ity dia 2,5% sy 2,9% ny vidin’ny US amin’ny entana fambolena sy tsy fambolena Shinoa, raha toa ka 9,7% sy 5% ny vidin’ny Shinoa amin’ny entana amerikana. Marina fa nihena 14,1% izany talohan’ny 2001 fony i Shina nanatevin-daharana ny Fikambanana Iraisam-pirenena Momba ny Varotra saingy anisan’ny vidiny izany ary avo kokoa ny sarany ho an’ny indostria sasany.

Ireto ambany ireto ny fanondranana amerikana 10 ambony indrindra any Shina tamin’ny taona 2017 araka ny International Trade Center Trade Map http://www.intracen.org/marketanalysis:

Fiaramanidina, sambon-danitra – 16,3 miliara dolara

Fiara – 13,2 miliara dolara

Voa menaka – 13 miliara dolara

Milina – 12,9 miliara dolara

Fitaovana elektronika – 12,1 miliara dolara

Fitaovana ara-pitsaboana, ara-teknika – 8,8 miliara dolara

Ny solika mineraly anisan’izany ny solika – $ 8,6 miliara

Plastika – $ 5.7 lavitrisa

Woodpulp – $3,4 lavitrisa

Wood – 3,2 miliara dolara

Total – 97,7 lavitrisa dolara

Miisa 74,8% amin’ny fanondranana rehetra amin’io taona io izy ireo. Marihina fa ankoatra ny voan’ny menaka, ny soja ny ankamaroany, ny ambiny dia vokatra tsy azo avy amin’ny fambolena. Tsy mitovy anefa ny karamany ary miankina amin’ny stratejika ny vokatra. Ohatra, ny fiara sinoa dia tsy afaka mifaninana amin’ny amerikana ka ireto farany dia manana adidy eo anelanelan’ny 21% sy 30%. Ampitahao amin’ny 2.5% ambony indrindra ho an’ny fanafarana fiara sinoa any Etazonia

Ao no misy ny rub. Ny Sinoa dia tsy afaka mampiakatra fanafarana bebe kokoa amin’ireo entana ireo, ny sasany amin’izy ireo dia vitsy ny mpamatsy any ivelan’i Etazonia Vokatr’izany, ny sasany amin’ireo fampiakarana saran-dàlana dia kabary tsy misy dikany ary vitsy nify. Ohatra, nanambara ny sarany 25% amin’ny fiaramanidina i Shina, fa tsy ny fiaramanidina rehetra – ireo manana “lanja foana” 15,000 ka hatramin’ny 45,000 kilao. Na dia toa mikendry an’i Boeing aza i Shina, dia hita fa ny 737 efa antitra ihany no lasibatra amin’ny famokarana, fa tsy mikasika ireo modely lehibe kokoa ahitana ny ankamaroan’ny varotra Boeing. Tena mila mampitombo ny indostrian’ny fiaramanidina i Shina. Tombanana fa 7000 ny fiaramanidina vaovao ilaina ao anatin’ny 20 taona ho avy. Miaraka amin’ny Airbus miasa amin’ny fahafahany feno, tsy misy safidy hafa afa-tsy ny mitodika any amin’ny Boeing ho an’ny ambiny.

Toraka izany koa ny soja, ny ankamaroan’ny fanafarana avy any Shina. I Shina no tsenan-kisoa ambony indrindra eran-tany ary mila soja hohanina izy ireo. Hita fa i Brezila sy Etazonia no mpamatsy soja roa lehibe indrindra manerantany. Nampitombo ny famokarana nandritra ny taona maro i Brezila ary izao no 57% amin’ny fanafarana soja sinoa. Izany dia tonga indrindra amin’ny fandaniam-bolan’i Etazonia, saingy i Brezila dia tsy afaka manonitra ny 31% sisa amin’ny fanondranana soja amerikana any Shina. Vokatr’izany, handratra mivantana ny mpiompy kisoa sinoa ny fampiakarana 25% ny sarany.

Amin’ny farany, ny haben’ny tsy fifandanjan’ny varotra dia hilalao amin’ny fankasitrahan’i Trump. Miaraka amin’ny entana 500 lavitrisa dolara atahorana ho an’i Shina vs. 130 lavitrisa dolara fotsiny ho an’i Etazonia, voaisy tombo-kase ny anjaran’i Shina. Izany hoe, raha toa ka miziriziry amin’ny fampiakarana ny bar i Trump ary mitazona ireo mpandraharaha amerikana tsy afa-po. Mety ho tsaroan’ny mpahay tantara fa ny fampiakarana tsy an-kijanona ny bar dia nahatonga an’i Rosia ho resy nandritra ny fitondran’i Reagan. Tsy manampy an’i Shina fa efa mihazakazaka manohitra ny fetran’ny sarany.

Efa hitantsika izany lalao farany izany. Efatra andro monja taorian’ny nananganana hetra mitovy amin’ny firenena roa tonta dia nanambara ny sarany 10% amin’ny entana Shinoa $ 200 miliara i Trump. Tsy nisy valifaty mitovy amin’ny sisintany azon’i Shina niangona taorian’ny talata 10 Jolay ny fanambarana. Raha ny tokony ho izy, nanambara i Shina fa hiverina amin’ny fomba hafa – angamba amin’ny fivarotana US Treasuries, izay hanondraka ny tsenan’ny fatorana antonony sy maharitra izay mahatonga ny vidin’ny fatorana hidina ary hiakatra ny vokatra.

Mikasika ity farany dia hisy vidiny ny fandresen’i Trump. Nohamafisin’ny fahombiazany tamin’i Shina, i Trump dia hanohy hanohy ny fandaharam-potoanany ara-barotra miaraka amin’ireo mpiara-miombon’antoka ara-barotra hafa. Na dia mifandanja tsara amin’ny UK aza ny varotra, ny Vondrona Eoropeana dia nanana tombony ara-barotra $173.58 lavitrisa tamin’ny taon-dasa tamin’ny varotra $839 lavitrisa. Tsy vitan’izay fa efa fanaon’ny Vondrona Eoropeanina ny manenjika ireo goavambe teknolojia amerikana tsy afaka hifaninana aminy. Eritrereto ny Qualcomm amin’ny 2018, Google amin’ny 2017, Facebook amin’ny 2017, Apple amin’ny 2016, ary Microsoft amin’ny 2013. Japana dia eo amin’ny sambo iray ihany. Ny fatiantokay tamin’i Japana dia salan’isa – $68.59 lavitrisa nanomboka tamin’ny 2014-2017 ary nijoro tamin’ny taon-dasa – $68.88 lavitrisa tamin’ny varotra $204 lavitrisa. Na dia nihena aza ny fitsipiky ny governemanta tamin’ny praiminisitra Abe, manana kolontsaina manakantsakana ny fampiasam-bola avy any ivelany i Japana, indrindra eo amin’ny sehatra ara-bola. Ambonin’izany, manana sara ambony amin’ny vokatra ronono (hatramin’ny 40%) sy hena (38,5% amin’ny hen’omby) izy ireo, izay mitentina 6,1 lavitrisa dolara amin’ny fanondranana any Etazonia ho any amin’ny firenena. Nilaza mazava i Trump fa milalao ihany koa izy ireo ary nitifitra salvos ho setrin’izany.

Raha jerena ny fihetsiky ny antoko rehetra voakasik’izany dia hiakatra ambony noho ny teo aloha ny sarany. Hampiakatra ny vidin’ny entam-barotra amerikana any ivelany izany, ka hahatonga azy ireo tsy hifaninana. Izany, ho setrin’izany, dia hisy fiantraikany amin’ny fidiram-bola ho an’ireo orinasa lehibe iraisam-pirenena. Ny tsenam-bolantsika dia mety mitsangatsangana amin’ny avo indrindra amin’izao fotoana izao, saingy mino aho fa izany no ho fampidinana ny tsena satria ny mpampiasa vola dia mijery mialoha, manolotra ireo tahiry ireo. Ankoatra izay, tsy azo ihodivirana fa hitarika ny fisondrotry ny vidim-piainana ny saran-dalana amin’ny fanafarana entana. Efa eo amin’ny haavon’ny fampiononana 2% an’ny Fed isika ka ny fahitana amin’ny fiakaran’ny vidim-piainana ambony dia hampirisika ny Fed hanala izany amin’ny alàlan’ny fiakarana ny taham-bolan’ny sakafo mihoatra ny lalany ankehitriny. Ny fandrisihana azy ireo hanao izany dia hohamafisina raha mamaly faty amin’ny programa fivarotana Treasury i Shina, satria ny tahan’ny Tahirim-bolam-panjakana 10 taona ambony dia manamaivana ny ahiahin’ny Fed amin’ny fanodikodinam-bola.

Ny fitotongan’ny tsenam-bola dia hampivadika ny fiantraikan’ny harena hitanay tato ho ato amin’ny toekarentsika ary miaraka amin’ny fatiantoka amin’ny fanondranana, tsy isalasalana fa hitarika fahaverezan’ny asa sy fitomboan’ny tsy fananan’asa izany. Ambonin’izany rehetra izany, ny fitotongan’ny fahalalahana mangina izay iainantsika, dia hiharihary mazava tsara satria ny isan’ny tampon’isan’ny olona mandany vola dia mbola mihena hatramin’ny taona 2023. 1968, niakatra ho 2.09% isan-taona tamin’io taona io, nifanindran-dàlana tamin’ny ankamaroan’ny Baby Boomer bulge. Nanomboka teo dia nihena hatrany izany ka nahatratra 1,09% tamin’ny fiandohan’ity taona ity. Ireo 46-50 taona no be mpampiasa indrindra ary raha raisintsika ho 1968 ho afovoany amin’ny fara tampony ny mponina, dia tafavoaka izy ireo tamin’ny taona 2016. Izany no antony lehibe nanahy ireo firenena be mponina, toa an’i Shina, amin’ny fampihenana ny fanjifàna ny mpivady taloha. taona. Ny vokatr’izany dia ho hitantsika ny fihenan’ny fandaniam-bola manerantany mandritra ny dimy taona ho avy. Hiteraka fitotonganana ara-toekarena eran-tany haingana izany mandritra ny dimy taona ho avy ary hidina ny tsenam-bola eran-tany mandritra ny taona vitsivitsy.

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