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Bang, We’ve Hit Bottom – Fasten Your Seat Belts For the Trip Back
As an objective analyst in the aftermarket automotive industry as a whole, I am often asked to pull a rabbit out of my bag. Well I don’t have that bag and I don’t have much of a rabbit to pull it. That said, twenty-five years in the business has taught me not to take advice from poorer men.
Why does anyone ask me? On the salary of an industrial analyst, I am undoubtedly one of the poorest of them all. However, as most readers know, I have covered all the gems and laggards of the industry. There are many laggards today in this industry, and that includes the behemoth communications companies.
As part of my job, I have to read investor meetings. I see many conversations and actions from these sources that perfectly describe the rush syndrome. The rush syndrome is also called bull disease because it is associated with the attitude and behavior of investors like a herd of bulls rushing down a cliff – no wonder it is a failure. The day trader who fills pages and pages of chat room screens is not trading for money but for the adrenaline rush that makes his veins strong. As luck would have it, sometimes they hit a winner feeding their excitement. The statistics, however, tell a different story; The ratio of losers to winners is 1080/1.
Of the 30 day traders I interviewed, none commented on understanding the concept of weighted average products. Most answered “that’s how it goes” when asked about the level of loss. Bottom line is a game. Like the lecture halls they participate in.
So how do you actually make money in this game?
Well, I went to three expert full-time investors (they’re going by business titles). There is a model of their thinking that I will share with you. Each called for a method of investment; “Trading Fundamentals”.
Here are the Fundamentals of Trading as they explained to me;
1. Stay under the radar, stay off chats and message boards. Remain anonymous during interviews; Just use the media to read, don’t post on chats or boards. When you search for them, look for explanations or comments with reasons.
2. If you don’t have million dollar resources and possibly strict conditions, there is no such thing as a successful day trader.
3. Don’t bet on the table except; (i) marry volume with trend and trend with volume. High volume and low prices for a month, the absence of bad news, means that profit taking is often done in a big way. This is a very good sign that should be followed to the end. (ii) A sudden stop in volume and a constant stock price means a low. Stocks will usually do nothing or trade on the sidelines for a short period of time. (iii) A rise of 125 or more confirms this low. Don’t wait for it.
4. Don’t fix it. If a trade or investment is worth doing, it’s worth doing for a fraction of the extra penny. Do not place orders in round numbers. For example, if an offer is.19 placed in your offer on.18.3.
5. Don’t be silly. Place your trade at a minimum of 120% of the highest Market Maker bid or 110% of the lowest published bid. Then apply the rules and finish your bid for help.003.
6. If trading shares less than $ 1 does not work in percentages but in real money. Don’t waste 1 cent on saving $20. You will do yourself and the stock better bidding 1 cent then add.003 because this will lead to more interest and better performance for the stock. It will also clear unpublished low bids.
7. Chat room marketers are notorious for their tendency to ignore the rules. In this way, they continue to chase the trade, and often lose their money.
8. Hold the stock until you get real confirmation of the situation. For example, if the volume dries up to almost nothing after a rise of more than 20% and the stock does not increase for seven days in a row, do not sell but watch it. If the stock goes down 3 or more times in a row and then at the 90% level below the price on the high rise without bad news, the decision to sell is appropriate.
Don’t trade on a sudden dip even if it drops below 90% because it can be a big block trade in AON (All Nothing) at a good price. You must have the volume dry and down three times in a row before the sale is considered. Do not violate the rule of three clicks in a row, going up between trades or sides of the same price breaks and repeats the rule of three.
Too often, traders underestimate the concept and sell or buy on impulse (for example, if you buy 2000 shares at .20 cents a 1 cent increase in price is worth $20. If $20 your concern is, you don’t have a business deposit.
Emotions play no part in successful marketing. The goal is to maximize profits, and in that pursuit of sustainability is a virtue. These rules apply especially to small caps or so-called penny-stocks.
What success is I was asked and I got a unanimous answer: “Success is ending each quarter with a plus side of less than 10 sales”. All three traders agreed that less is more and “Trading Fundamentals” means you’re buying the real thing, not hype or theories about what could happen.
Basic trading is investment trading. You don’t need to sell fast to make money. Most of the money is made by those who buy from small companies with good foundations supported by newspapers and news publications. A good company is also a good citizen of the world – failure in this area suggests a short-sightedness from the management that can lead to the danger of taking the air out of the balloon.
I left and thought about which public companies in this industry might meet these criteria. Most of the industry’s demand for trade associations is for small businesses ($15,000,000), which trade on the OTC under the FLKI symbol. Taking this direction, a little research was needed to confirm that the company met each of these principles. Therefore, the company should prove the interest of those who care that their investment is supported by a company that works, which appears to be rare in the non-stop markets that I was told. I mean working here; things behind sales, real companies, real products, real sales, you know the story. If I do not have the conditions to recommend a stock that is a personal decision to be made by the investor based on his own criteria.
It has been a wonderful challenge to report for industry journalists and since 1997 about this non-standard company. The company is very successful, a world leader in product development, with a store full of ideas for more than 160 products distributed around the world and many more. His unique management has created a company that is crisis proof business against the crisis cycle.
There is a lot of hype in the world of OTC stocks and Pinksheet. SPGE is the latest stock to chase chat room day traders. Newspapers, including the New York Post, have stated in recent articles and editorials that all the controversy surrounding this dress is just that; hype. The stock is suspended and the SEC takes advantage of the fact that a company claiming $30 million plus in sales has $34,000 in the bank.
I did not ask for a distinction in mathematics, I asked the teachers I interviewed to show the application of their rules against FLKI the company I thought met the standards. Looking at their background check (pronounced “dd” in trade terms), they note that the company’s stock rose 896% from 5 cents to 50 cents to make the No. 1 on CNN’s Money “Best Performing Stocks,” which he had. was hit by massive profit-taking on the stock market which drove the share price down sharply. But all that stopped suddenly. The book dried up to a few thousand pieces, and the stock stopped. Consolidation of the bottom required the closing of the rise of 125 or more. This happened and was confirmed at .19 cents below. All these facts are historical and publicly recorded – the “dd” which means diligence, has the purpose of collecting these facts.
This is done, and the implementation of the proposed rule, the stock, according to the gurus, buy hard up to .204 (suggested at .19 cents). The high bid is .16 cents which would produce an entry bid of .176 +.003 or .179 tested at 110% of the low bid, which is 19 cents which would result in a bid price of – price .209 +.003 or.212. Therefore, after fully implementing these rules, stocks should be bought.
I like the stability of the working principle and the proven house that the “no bad third” rule accepts. I am a believer. For gurus, the company is a model target for “Trading Fundamentals”. As for the events of the last press release that was analyzed in the same way as in the “dd” training that I went through, it seems to follow the rule of never having a bad crack!
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